Welcome to Week 9 of the NFL regular season; in this weekly staple, we focus on the top-three NFL betting underdog picks for the week. New to sports betting? An “underdog” in sports betting is a team that the betting oddsmakers feel won’t live up to a certain benchmark this in their game, whether that be a win, a certain level of points or such. We’ll be utilizing odds from BetMGM.
We’re coming off our first back-to-back losing weeks of the season as, predictably, NFL pointspread underdogs have started to lose some steam of late following a sizzling start.
We did hit big last week with the selection of the Philadelphia Eagles, who rolled to a 31-13 win in Buffalo as 1½-point road dogs, but were on the wrong side of the number with our picks of winless Cincinnati Bengals (+13½ ) in a 24-10 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in London and the Kansas City Chiefs (+3½) in a 31-24 defeat to the visiting Green Bay Packers. That puts our overall record at 14-10 on the season.
Now it’s time for three more picks, utilizing Wednesday’s posted pointspreads from BetMGM.com, as we seek a return to our winning-week ways. Here goes …
Indianapolis Colts (+1) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Oct 20, 2019; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Indianapolis Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton (13) makes a first down reception against the Houston Texans in the second half at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports
Photo Credit: Thomas J. Russo – USA TODAY Sports
The Steelers have won three of their last four, but they’ve beaten the winless Bengals and Dolphins and won against a scuffling Chargers team in L.A., where the “home” crowd was overflowing with Terrible Towel-waving Steelers fans.
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The Colts, meanwhile, are living right, with all five of their wins coming by seven points or fewer, including last week’s 15-13 comeback victory over the visiting Denver Broncos in which they trailed for all but the game’s final 26 seconds.
The wrong team looks to be favored here, so go with Indy and the better quarterback (Jacoby Brissett) on the moneyline (-106) to win yet another close contest.
Miami Dolphins (+3) vs. N.Y. Jets
Oct 20, 2019; Orchard Park, NY, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick (14) passes the ball against the Buffalo Bills during the first quarter at New Era Field. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Photo Credit: Rich Barnes – USA TODAY Sports
So the 1-6 Jets, who have been outscored by 107 points in seven games, are really favored by a field goal on the road?
That’s the world the Dolphins find themselves in with their tanking plans still going swimmingly at 0-7 and a league-worst minus-161 point differential. More trades (Kenyan Drake) and injuries (top CB Xavien Howard) have followed this week for Miami.
The Dolphins, though, have won five of their last six against the Jets, who are in organizational turmoil with CEO Christopher Johnson calling out the team and star players either being dealt (Leonard Williams) or complaining that they were on the block (Jamal Adams).
Moreover, veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing well for the Dolphins and second-year QB Sam Darnold isn’t of late for the Jets. Take the ‘Fins and the field goal.
N.Y. Giants (+7.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys
Oct 10, 2019; Foxborough, MA, USA; New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) looks to pass against the New England Patriots during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
Photo Credit: Paul Rutherford – USA TODAY Sports
The Cowboys rolled to a 35-17 home win over the Giants in Week 1 as Dak Prescott shredded the visitors for 405 passing yards and four TDs.
It was the fifth straight and 10 th win in the last 13 meetings for Dallas in the series, but the Cowboys won’t have Eli Manning to beat up on Sunday as rookie Daniel Jones has since taken the Giants’ QB reins.
The Cowboys are still too talented and should win their sixth straight in the series, but look for Jones and the Giants to keep the final margin within a TD and come away with the home cover.
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