Preakness betting guide: Field, odds and the winner is …
An inside look at how the 143rd Kentucky Derby will shape up:
1. Quip (12-1)
Current Form: Upset the Tampa Bay Derby at 19-1 then stretched out in the Arkansas and held well for second money.
Worth a wager? “This race fits him the best” quipped trainer Rodolphe Brisset. Passed on Kentucky and has been pointed to Pimlico. Geroux should have him forwardly placed breaking from the rail. Hangs in for third.
2. Lone Sailor (15-1)
Current Form: He’s won once from nine starts. Gained a late lead in Louisiana before getting outkicked. Brutal voyage left him a muddy, excusable eighth in Kentucky.
Worth a wager? Who dat gonna beat Lone Sailor? Late Saints owner Tom Benson’s wife, Gayle, now heads GMB Racing. Irad Ortiz Jr. an interesting pickup but record speak volumes. An out-to-sea fifth.
3. Sporting Chance (30-1)
Current Form: Won the Hopeful at the Spa last summer but carryover to current campaign hasn’t materialized. Third in the Blue Grass to Good Magic, then an invisible eighth in the Pat Day mile.
Worth a wager? D. Wayne Lukas chose a strange prep for this. Hard to believe he got anything out of the PD Mile and returns off the same two-week break. Has a Sporting Chance, seventh.
4. Diamond King (30-1)
Current Form: He’s been flying under the radar, avoiding major preps. Raced evenly for third in the Swale. Shipped to Laurel, he won the longer Federico Tesio by a game three-quarter.
Worth a wager? Loads the gate off solid effort but playing with some heavy hitters today. Castellano rides for Servis who won the second jewel with Smarty Jones. Putting this jeweler fourth.
5. Good Magic (3-1)
Current Form: Breeders Cup Juvenile champ fulfilled 3-year-old promise with a game victory in the Blue Grass. Sat off Justify in the Derby but could not reel him in.
Worth a wager? Chad Brown’s stalker surprised me in Kentucky. Blue Grass field was soft but he ran hard to place second. If Quip or Tenfold don’t dance with Justify, Jose Ortiz will take the initiative and hound his rival. His turn, winner.
6. Tenfold (20-1)
Current Form: Was given a shot in the Arkansas after winning his initial pair. Chased a moderate pace but still had nothing left, landing mid-pack.
Worth a wager? No. Had no excuse at Arkansas and was heading in the wrong direction. Asmussen saddled Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra but keep those 10s folded in your wallet. Last of eight.
7. Justify (1-2)
Current Form: He’s done everything Baffert has asked, seemingly while in hand. Four-for-four after showing the way, then finishing full of run in the slop to wear the roses.
Worth a wager? Win photo showed a clean Mike Smith who said Derby was easy. Splashed mud on 19 contenders while snapping a 126-year-old curse. Justifiable fave can’t be bet at this price. Maybe the quick turnaround gets to the lightly raced champ. Yes, we’re trying to beat him. Placing him second.
8. Bravazo (20-1)
Current Form: Considering the trip he had on Derby Day, he raced well. Took a bump at the break, raced wide and still managed to be sixth at 66-1. Bravo!
Worth a wager? While Baffert seeks a record-tying seventh Preakness win so does D. Wayne. Put on a good show at Churchill but short field exposes his shortcomings. A much different sixth.
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