Mike’s Monday Outlook: Close, but not quite normal temperatures yet

The month of February to this point has been far from normal. It’s pretty easy to say that it’s actually been extraordinary. Extraordinarily cold.

Here’s a look at how the first half of the month went. Temperatures stayed far below normal with more than double the typical monthly snowfall amounts through the first 15 days of February.

Temperatures and snowfall amounts from Environment and Climate Change Canada from Feb. 1-14, 2019.

The overall daily mean temperatures as of Monday sits at -21.1 C. Typically, this number will average out to -13.2 C. That is a huge difference! If the month ended today, this February would be the 18th coldest on record.

Global News

You may remember 2014 where Winnipeg experiences its 21st  coldest February on record with a daily mean temperature for the month averaging out to -20 C. Weather records began in Winnipeg in 1872. This was also part of the third coldest winter (winter being December, January, and February) in more than a century and the coldest since 1978-1979. Overall, the winter of 2013-2014 was the 11th coldest on record.

While there is something to say about living through and experiencing some record-breaking weather, there is a bit of warm-up coming. Temperatures will stay below normal but there should also be some days that are warmer than what we had over the weekend which may be considered mild with highs of 13 C.

This week will see temperatures stay below normal, but will also be some of the warmest days of the month so far. It will also bring up the daily mean temperature a little bit.

As high pressure leaves the prairies and low pressure starts to move down the Rockies, southerly winds will help temperatures warm up slightly.

So far, the three warmest days this month have been:

  • -8.4 (Feb. 12)
  • – 9.2 (Feb 11)
  • -11.4 (Feb 1)

This week should see some days get close to numbers like this.

Winnipeg’s 5 day forecast from Feb. 18, 2019.

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