Who will be the next Prime Minister if Theresa May loses a confidence vote – from Boris Johnson to Jacob Rees-Mogg

Splits in the Tory party cast her future in doubt as critics say she should "lead or go". Here are the candidates most likely to take over.

What are the odds on the next Prime Minister?

Boris Johnson was the frontrunner to replace Theresa May in No 10, but has now slipped back to third favourite.

Will the next Prime Minister even be a Tory?

The uncertainty over Brexit talks and the Conservatives lack of majority have prompted some experts to predict a general election in the near future.

That could mean Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is whisked into Downing Street.

Here's the latest odds from Ladbrokes.

Boris Johnson – 8/1

Former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is still a hugely popular figure among Tory grassroots and the general public.

He drew a huge crowd to hear him bash Theresa May's Brexit plans in a barnstorming speech at the Tory conference in Birmingham.

Boris quit as Foreign Secretary on July 9 in a killer blow to May's government.

He walked out just hours after she lost Brexit Secretary David Davis over her Chequers plan to keep close ties to Brussels.

But many MPs appear to have turned against him, meaning he might struggle to get on the ballot.

Mr Johnson infuriated David Cameron by using his huge public profile to campaign for Leave.

His aborted leadership bid in 2016 was scuppered by his friend Michael Gove, severely damaging his electoral "brand".

And his hopes could be dashed by reports of a close friendship with a blonde Tory aide and his divorce from wife Marina.

Jeremy Corbyn – 4/1

The bookies have recently been giving Jeremy Corbyn strong odds as the nation's most likely next prime minister.

Most of the big bookmakers see him as a strong contender with odds of 4/1.

The Labour leader has had to fight constant opposition from his own MPs including a leadership contest after just a year.

But the party has swung behind him after a much stronger than expected 2017 General Election when Labour picked up 30 seats and Mrs May lost her majority.

Although the fabled "youthquake" of support from younger voters did not happen, Labour is enjoying relatively strong support in opinion polls.

He hopes to force a general election by voting down Mrs May's Brexit deal, and has boasted he would win.

Sajid Javid – 6/1

The Home Secretary is the current bookies' favourite among the Conservatives.

Mr Javid was appointed Home Secretary in the wake of the Windrush scandal and the resignation of Amber Rudd.

A known Eurosceptic, Mr Javid ended up backing Remain during the EU referendum but is popular amongst the Tory parliamentary party.

Some of his statements in recent months and his backing for a harder Brexit have been taken as signs he is pitching for the leadership.

The MP for Bromsgrove in Worcestershire is a former managing director from Deutsche Bank.

Jacob Rees-Mogg – 12/1

Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Latin-fluent millionaire financier and MP for North East Somerset, has emerged as the leading Brexiteer on the backbenches.

He has won a huge public profile despite not being a minister and is loved by Tory activists.

He has also garnered a surprise following among many young Tories – including Jungle Queen Georgia Toffolo, who called him "a sex god".

However his odds have lengthened from 7/1.

Devout Catholic Rees-Mogg has made no secret of his socially conservative views, including being anti-abortion and against gay marriage.

His plummy tones, double-breasted suits and traditional manner have earned him the nickname "The Honourable Member for the Nineteenth Century".

Michael Gove – 16/1

The environment secretary has achieved a remarkable turnaround since knifing Boris Johnson during the 2016 leadership contest.

His support among party members dropped through the floor and it seemed his chances were gone for ever.

But Mr Gove, who led the Leave campaign in the EU referendum, has rebranded himself as an ecowarrior as Environment Secretary.

He has also thrown his full support behind Theresa May's Brexit plan, winning him friends among MPs if not the party faithful.

Jeremy Hunt – 12/1

Mr Hunt was the longest-serving Health Secretary in British history before replacing Boris as Foreign Secretary.

He left the Department of Health after securing a £20bn funding increase for the NHS.

Mr Hunt is known to have leadership aspirations and now says he backs Brexit despite campaigning for Remain during the referendum.

Dominic Raab – 16/1

The new Brexit secretary is now in the running after taking Davis' job leading talks with Brussels.

He played a prominent role in the Leave campaign and previously served as a Justice minister.

Before he went into politics he was a lawyer, working on EU and World Trade Organisation Law.

His appointment was welcomed by Leave-backing MPs.

But his former personal assistant branded him a bullying Mr Nasty after she was sacked for leading a double life as an escort.

David Davis – 20/1

David Davis quit as Brexit secretary on July 8, 2018, with a devastating letter warning Mrs May her proposal would leave the UK in "a weak negotiating position" with Brussels.

He has since launched a series of attacks on Mrs May's strategy, and led a Tory rebellion to ditch the Chequers plan.

He called on Cabinet ministers to rise up and kill off the plans.

Furious Tories have demanded Mr Davis be installed as interim leader to save true Brexit.

Davis was rated as a 40/1 outsider but his odds have recently halved.

Andrea Leadsom – 20/1

Though an unlikely candidate at the time, the Brexit campaigner reached the final two of the 2016 leadership contest.

She withdrew over ill-judged remarks about Theresa May's childlessness.

She is now Leader of the House, and survived in post despite reports Mrs May was planning to cut "dead wood" in her January reshuffle.

Mrs Leadsom had a role in the downfall of Sir Michael Fallon after she accused him of lewd sexual comments.

Ruth Davidson 100/1

The popular, savvy and youthful leader of the Scottish Conservatives has been touted as the potential saviour of the Tories in Westminster.

But she has said repeatedly she wants to focus on Scotland and as she is not an MP she currently is not eligible to stand as leader of the UK party.

In September 2018 she declared she never wants to be Prime Minister.

She will also have to politics on the back burner for a while as she is due to give birth in November.

What happens if Theresa May resigns?

Mrs May was humiliated when her snap election backfired last June, costing the party its Commons majority.

A survey of Tory members in July 2017 showed more than 70 per cent want the PM to remain in post, but that fell to just 26 per cent in February 2018.

Critics in her own party are circling over her handling of Brexit, with rumours more than 30 MPs have sent letters of no confidence.

She could be forced out if 48 MPs demand her exit and she loses a subsequent vote.

There would then be a Tory leadership campaign, with the winner crowned PM.

Alternatively, Mrs May could lose a vote of confidence in the Commons, leading to her government falling.

In theory, the Queen could ask the Labour leader to form a minority government, but the numbers in the Commons would make it impossible for him to govern.

There could well be a fresh General Election with both major parties trying to secure a parliamentary majority.

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